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Quarterly Report from ESRI As It Cuts Domestic Growth Forecast Again as Irish Households & Businesses Tighten Belts

14th December 2023
In the latest ERSI quarterly report, there was a decline in Irish exports, notably in the pharmaceutical sector, which will result in the nation’s GDP shrinking by 2.7% this year. On the domestic front, the ERSI expect demand is to rise by just 0.6% this year, with GDP to shrink by 2.7%. Above container ship MSC Nikoleta which AFLOAT highlights of its arrival to the Port of Cork with a maiden call on 2nd March, as seen the next day at the Cork Container Terminal (CTT), Ringaskiddy.
In the latest ERSI quarterly report, there was a decline in Irish exports, notably in the pharmaceutical sector, which will result in the nation’s GDP shrinking by 2.7% this year. On the domestic front, the ERSI expect demand is to rise by just 0.6% this year, with GDP to shrink by 2.7%. Above container ship MSC Nikoleta which AFLOAT highlights of its arrival to the Port of Cork with a maiden call on 2nd March, as seen the next day at the Cork Container Terminal (CTT), Ringaskiddy. Credit: Port of Cork-facebook

In its latest quarterly outlook report, the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) which provides evidence-based research to inform public policy debate and decision-making, has cut its domestic economic growth forecasts for a third time this year.

As The Irish Times reports, the cut comes at a time as households and businesses rein in spending amid the cost-of-living crisis, coupled with rising interest rates in addition to a slow-down in global economic activity.

The latest set of figures from the ESRI, reveals that Irish modified domestic demand (MDD), which strips out some of the ways multinationals can distort activity, is now expected this year to expand by 0.6 per cent. The report shows that this equates to a third of the pace projected two months ago and a fraction of the 3.8 per cent growth rate as outlined in its first report of the year.

The ESRI which was founded more than 70 years, also said that it has also gradually reduced its MDD estimate for next year to 2 per cent.

This is half the rate predicted when compared to the start of the year.

For more figures and analysis, click here from the newspaper's coverage. 

Published in Ports & Shipping
Jehan Ashmore

About The Author

Jehan Ashmore

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Jehan Ashmore is a marine correspondent, researcher and photographer, specialising in Irish ports, shipping and the ferry sector serving the UK and directly to mainland Europe. Jehan also occasionally writes a column, 'Maritime' Dalkey for the (Dalkey Community Council Newsletter) in addition to contributing to UK marine periodicals. 

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