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"Beware the Perils of Groupthink" - The Late Project Management Advisor Michael Ocock

16th March 2022
The late Mike Ocock
The late Mike Ocock

“Beware the perils of groupthink…” These are the wise words of Michael Ocock, the British chartered surveyor and project risk management expert with strong Irish connections who died last month at the age of 81.

Ocock was keenly interested in mistakes made in the handling of the Corrib gas refinery, and other infrastructural projects that ran foul of local communities in both Ireland and Britain.

Developers of onshore and offshore wind farms should heed the mistakes of the past, he believed.

“Some promoters of infrastructure schemes are arrogant enough to think they know what’s best for everyone,” Ocock told Afloat in a Wavelengths podcast last year.

“They’re convinced they have sufficient power and more than enough influence to override objections to their plans - and they act accordingly,” he said.

“This is the notorious ‘decide-announce-defend’ or ‘bulldozer’ approach to infrastructure projects,” he said, resulting in opposition and cost overruns.

“Maybe it’s an approach just about acceptable in an emergency - but otherwise, it can be unwise, and any consultation process employed is almost certainly going to be a sham,” he warned.

Ocock, joint author with Barry Trebes of Making Sense of Challenging Projects: Things to Know, Questions to Ask, spent most of his career managing, overseeing and advising on infrastructure, and was acutely aware of how inconvenient truths are often handled.

During the past two decades, he worked with psychologists to develop ways of making it easier for infrastructure project teams to understand and engage with local communities, and to identify “rogue stakeholders” who may have no one’s interest at heart apart from their own.

He ran training courses on risk in relation to project management and strategic planning, and he contributed to many publications, including the training manual for “GRASP” or “Global Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning”.

His argument, as articulated in his interview with Wavelengths, was that it makes economic sense for developers to engage properly with stakeholders at an early stage – not just at a “box-ticking” stage of public consultation as required by legislation.

“Why, when major infrastructure developments are announced, are we always surprised at the degree of public opposition?” he asked.

“ For any community facing the prospect of new infrastructure on its doorstep, it’s surely the shock of the “new” that triggers their protests - coupled with a stubborn belief that most of the pain stays local, whilst most of the gain goes elsewhere,” Ocock said.

“To get their voices heard - communities have little option but to object and object furiously. But immediately they do that - they’re accused of being negative and deserving of a label such as NIMBY (not in my back yard) or banana (build absolutely nothing anywhere near anyone),” he observed.

“What they’re being forced to oppose has become, for them, a LULU (locally unwanted land use), or with offshore wind turbines, for example, perhaps a LUSU (locally unwanted sea use),” he said.

Engagement, rather than consultation, should kick in before options or considered or ideas are put to paper, he suggested.

“Too often we’re told ‘This is the scheme we’ve spent months (sometimes it’s years) perfecting – what do you think of it? Please leave your comments on a piece of paper at the back of the room or tick a box on the computer feedback form...’,” he noted.

“Communities deserve to be invited to take part in a genuine dialogue with the promoters of projects that affect them – better still, they deserve to take part in negotiations to find ways of creating working relationships between them as local communities and the teams tasked with designing and delivering the projects,” he said.

Mike Ocock was born in Maidstone, Kent on May 24th 1941, and developed a lifelong interest in archaeology when at Maidstone Grammar school. After school, he worked for Kent County Council and trained to be a quantity surveyor.

His second wife, Janet, recalls he told her that he spent most of his time “measuring school playgrounds”.

He qualified as a chartered surveyor and became a member of and fellow of the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors.

In his spare time, he participated in a local archaeological group in Kent with his first wife Wendy. In 1962, he photographed some interesting crop marks from a light aeroplane above some fields in Eccles in Kent.

He was delighted to learn - upon excavation of the area - that a Roman villa, a bathhouse complex and an Anglo Saxon cemetery were identified. The 60th anniversary of that discovery is due to be marked this year.

Ocock worked for WS Atkins design, engineering and project management consultancy, and handled power station projects in both Britain and in Mexico. He was also involved in project management for several Debenham stores in Ipswich, Cardiff and Swansea.

After he and Wendy separated, he married Janet who had a son, Neil, and a daughter, Madelaine; in 1978 Tim was born. Neil studied physics at Liverpool and London, and Maddy became a doctor of psychology with consultant status.

Tim studied for a masters in engineering and computing at Lancaster followed by business management at Cambridge. Janet completed an Open University degree in 1984.

In the late 1970s, Ocock became involved with the extension to Guy’s Hospital in London – “not knowing that he would eventually become a long-serving patient of Guy’s himself,” Janet noted.

He founded Conspectus Project Management Ltd which ran from offices in Garrick Street, London.

“In 1994, the recession almost brought Conspectus to an end, but Mike managed to continue the operation from home in Orpington in Kent, and later still from Ambrosden in Oxfordshire, Janet recalled.

Family connections drew Mike and Janet Ocock to Cloonfad in Co Roscommon, where they bought and restored a 200- year- old cottage and formed a local archaeological group researching early Christian sites.

During his time in Ireland, he also provided advice to one of the survivor groups linked to the Tuam mother and babies home in Co Galway.

He and Janet took great delight in becoming grandparents to Maddy’s two daughters – Ruby, who was born in 2009, and Scarlett in 2012. As a lifelong cyclist, he took great pleasure in teaching each of them how to ride a bicycle.

His son, Tim, has collated links to some of his father’s publications, including the podcast for Afloat.

“I would therefore like to invite anyone here who might have a passing interest in any work that involves avoiding the perils of groupthink, in surfacing inconvenient truths, and engaging disenfranchised stakeholders, or reconciling conflicting vested interests to check it out, which you can do at these links,”Tim Ocock says.

More from Mike Ocock

Democratisation of planning

It Makes Economic Sense for Marine Developers to Earn the Trust of Stakeholders (Podcast)

Read Mike Ocock’s recent eBook here

Read his methodology textbook here

Read his British Standard on project risk management here

Published in Marine Planning
Afloat.ie Team

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Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) - FAQS

Marine protected areas (MPAs) are geographically defined maritime areas where human activities are managed to protect important natural or cultural resources. In addition to conserving marine species and habitats, MPAs can support maritime economic activity and reduce the effects of climate change and ocean acidification.

MPAs can be found across a range of marine habitats, from the open ocean to coastal areas, intertidal zones, bays and estuaries. Marine protected areas are defined areas where human activities are managed to protect important natural or cultural resources.

The world's first MPA is said to have been the Fort Jefferson National Monument in Florida, North America, which covered 18,850 hectares of sea and 35 hectares of coastal land. This location was designated in 1935, but the main drive for MPAs came much later. The current global movement can be traced to the first World Congress on National Parks in 1962, and initiation in 1976 of a process to deliver exclusive rights to sovereign states over waters up to 200 nautical miles out then began to provide new focus

The Rio ‘Earth Summit’ on climate change in 1992 saw a global MPA area target of 10% by the 2010 deadline. When this was not met, an “Aichi target 11” was set requiring 10% coverage by 2020. There has been repeated efforts since then to tighten up MPA requirements.

Marae Moana is a multiple-use marine protected area created on July 13th 2017 by the government of the Cook islands in the south Pacific, north- east of New Zealand. The area extends across over 1.9 million square kilometres. However, In September 2019, Jacqueline Evans, a prominent marine biologist and Goldman environmental award winner who was openly critical of the government's plans for seabed mining, was replaced as director of the park by the Cook Islands prime minister’s office. The move attracted local media criticism, as Evans was responsible for developing the Marae Moana policy and the Marae Moana Act, She had worked on raising funding for the park, expanding policy and regulations and developing a plan that designates permitted areas for industrial activities.

Criteria for identifying and selecting MPAs depends on the overall objective or direction of the programme identified by the coastal state. For example, if the objective is to safeguard ecological habitats, the criteria will emphasise habitat diversity and the unique nature of the particular area.

Permanence of MPAs can vary internationally. Some are established under legislative action or under a different regulatory mechanism to exist permanently into the future. Others are intended to last only a few months or years.

Yes, Ireland has MPA cover in about 2.13 per cent of our waters. Although much of Ireland’s marine environment is regarded as in “generally good condition”, according to an expert group report for Government published in January 2021, it says that biodiversity loss and ecosystem degradation are of “wide concern due to increasing pressures such as overexploitation, habitat loss, pollution, and climate change”.

The Government has set a target of 30 per cent MPA coverage by 2030, and moves are already being made in that direction. However, environmentalists are dubious, pointing out that a previous target of ten per cent by 2020 was not met.

Conservation and sustainable management of the marine environment has been mandated by a number of international agreements and legal obligations, as an expert group report to government has pointed out. There are specific requirements for area-based protection in the EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD), the OSPAR Convention, the UN Convention on Biological Diversity and the UN Sustainable Development Goals. 

Yes, the Marine Strategy Framework directive (2008/56/EC) required member states to put measures in place to achieve or maintain good environmental status in their waters by 2020. Under the directive a coherent and representative network of MPAs had to be created by 2016.

Ireland was about halfway up the EU table in designating protected areas under existing habitats and bird directives in a comparison published by the European Commission in 2009. However, the Fair Seas campaign, an environmental coalition formed in 2022, points out that Ireland is “lagging behind “ even our closest neighbours, such as Scotland which has 37 per cent. The Fair Seas campaign wants at least 10 per cent of Irish waters to be designated as “fully protected” by 2025, and “at least” 30 per cent by 2030.

Nearly a quarter of Britain’s territorial waters are covered by MPAs, set up to protect vital ecosystems and species. However, a conservation NGO, Oceana, said that analysis of fishing vessel tracking data published in The Guardian in October 2020 found that more than 97% of British MPAs created to safeguard ocean habitats, are being dredged and bottom trawled. 

There’s the rub. Currently, there is no definition of an MPA in Irish law, and environment protections under the Wildlife Acts only apply to the foreshore.

Current protection in marine areas beyond 12 nautical miles is limited to measures taken under the EU Birds and Habitats Directives or the OSPAR Convention. This means that habitats and species that are not listed in the EU Directives, but which may be locally, nationally or internationally important, cannot currently be afforded the necessary protection

Yes. In late March 2022, Minister for Housing Darragh O’Brien said that the Government had begun developing “stand-alone legislation” to enable identification, designation and management of MPAs to meet Ireland’s national and international commitments.

Yes. Environmental groups are not happy, as they have pointed out that legislation on marine planning took precedence over legislation on MPAs, due to the push to develop offshore renewable energy.

No, but some activities may be banned or restricted. Extraction is the main activity affected as in oil and gas activities; mining; dumping; and bottom trawling

The Government’s expert group report noted that MPA designations are likely to have the greatest influence on the “capture fisheries, marine tourism and aquaculture sectors”. It said research suggests that the net impacts on fisheries could ultimately be either positive or negative and will depend on the type of fishery involved and a wide array of other factors.

The same report noted that marine tourism and recreation sector can substantially benefit from MPA designation. However, it said that the “magnitude of the benefits” will depend to a large extent on the location of the MPA sites within the network and the management measures put in place.

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